US Dollar vs Japanese Yen - USD/JPY Chart 4th August 2009

The yen to dollar currency pair continues to trade in its own idiosyncratic and tiresome fashion which almost beggars belief and provides few trading opportunities other than a strategy based on simply flipping a coin!  The only thing one can say at present is that the strong resistance in the 95 plus region seems to be holding firm and despite several attempts the pair have failed to penetrate this to any great extent.  The weekly chart is perhaps more illuminating in that the current sideways movement is less well defined and demonstrates a tendency towards the bear side with all three moving averages pressing down.  Should this result in a break lower then we may see a re-test of the 89 price point last seen in early 2009 which could then trigger a bounce back.  In the meantime this pair may be one to avoid until there is more clarity on the yen to dollar chart.  With no fundamental news on the economic calendar for Japan and only pending home sales data in the US the best we can hope for this pair is further drift until the NFP numbers injects some much needed life in the chart.

You can keep up to date with all the latest fundamental news on the economic calendar, latest currency news and live currency charts by simply following the links.  I have also included details on an excellent ECN broker.

USD vs JPY - Daily Candle Chart 29th July 2009

Finally we had a signal of sorts yesterday, which has at least given us a clue as to the short term direction for the yen to dollar currency pair, ( other than sideways!!) – with the daily candle ending the session as a wide spread down bar and giving us a bearish engulfing signal on the day. Once again the high of the day failed to make any progress higher, and in addition the 40 day moving average added downwards pressure, suggesting that we may now see a deeper move lower in due course. However given the congestion of the last few months, my advice is to wait for this candle to be validated before attempting any trend trades, and I would suggest that a break below the $92.50 price level, coupled with a breach of both the 9 day and 14 day moving averages, should be considered the bare minimum.

All the fundamental news on the economic calendar for the US dollar is covered in detail for you in the euro to dollar site, whilst the only item for the Japanese yen was released during the Asian trading session with the Retail Sales figures, which disappointed the markets coming in worse than expected at -3.0%, against a forecast of -2.5%. Overall the figures suggested that the BOJ stimulus package was having little effect in the home markets, with income and unemployment worsening and adversely affecting sales as a result.

You can keep up to date with all the latest fundamental news on the economic calendar, latest currency news and live currency charts by simply following the links.  I have also included details on an excellent ECN broker.